4E Observation: The 90,000 mark is lost, the market is in panic, where is the future market going?

The crypto market has suffered another heavy blow, and the market shows that Bitcoin fell below the $90,000 mark, with a 24-hour decline of 6.2%, setting a new low since mid-November. The counterfeit market is even more bloody, with the two leaders ETH and SOL, falling below US$2400 and US$140 respectively, with a 24-hour decline of up to 11% and 14.88%. Investors' confidence has been hit hard. Today's Panic and Greed Index has fallen from 49 to 25, and has entered a "extreme panic" state again after 5 months.

Technology stocks lead the decline and collapse the crypto market

According to media reports, as the biggest supporter of OpenAI, Microsoft has canceled the rental of some AI data centers. Market speculation that Microsoft may be abandoning Stargate, fearing that AI infrastructure may face the risk of oversupply. In addition to Trump's claim that tariffs on Canada and Mexico will continue to further hit market confidence, large US technology stocks fell collectively. Due to the strong correlation between Bitcoin and technology stocks, Bitcoin has fallen sharply under the drag of US stocks.

Meanwhile, lawmakers in the South Dakota legislature have postponed a vote that could allow the state to invest in bitcoin, which actually killed the bill. A relatively small state like South Dakota, whose legislative decisions have had a significant impact on the global Bitcoin market, but the failure of its bill was amplified by the market as a symbol of Bitcoin acceptance, which may trigger a wider psychological effect and further suppress market sentiment. .

Will it continue to fall?

The market is confusing, and many senior people have expressed their opinions on the future trend. Most analysts firmly believe that this is just a phased pullback in the bull market, emphasizing that all bull markets have experienced a significant price adjustment of more than 50%, and the market still maintains the upward trend of the bull market after that. BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes has been holding a bearish attitude since January. This time he gave another analysis, sure that the price of Bitcoin will fall to $70,000 and return to the starting point of the Trump market.

Compared with Bitcoin, which is gradually leaving retail investors, the market is most concerned about the two major counterfeit leaders, ETH and SOL. Previously, there was news in the market that Bybit needed to repurchase ETH to replenish wallet funds. This expectation promoted a significant rebound in ETH price at that time. However, yesterday it was reported that it had successfully filled it through loans, over-the-counter trading and other means. ETH's funding gap, potential buying has been eliminated. This undoubtedly adds great uncertainty to the price trend of ETH.

SOL's performance has continued to be sluggish recently. The LIBRA collapse was deeply discovered. A meme cabal controlled by institutions has completely overturned the public's original perception of meme's fair launch, severely hitting market confidence, meme's momentum cooled down, SOL's "golden shovel" The attributes have dropped sharply; in addition, SOL will usher in large-scale auctions to unlock. Many holders choose to temporarily leave the market for risk avoidance, which undoubtedly further increases the pressure on SOL prices to fall.

Overall, the current market sentiment is still shrouded in pessimistic atmosphere, and the continued decline in prices has not shown signs of stopping the decline and stabilizing. Any turbulence may trigger market fluctuations that exceed expectations. With the uncertain market, many investors have changed their investment strategies, from the radical pursuit of high risks and high returns to the steady pursuit of certain returns. Because of its relatively flexible and stable characteristics, U Financial Management has become the mainstream choice.

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